Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 11.049347 12.300083 13.647918 15.210559 16.975120 18.909077 21.193444
2025-07-20 9.524881 11.296945 13.345415 15.897856 19.006049 22.684443 27.391488
2025-07-27 8.222984 10.304210 12.862166 16.259705 20.687372 26.307259 34.052777
2025-08-03 7.034340 9.249245 12.122459 16.162472 21.759990 29.334701 40.519604
2025-08-10 6.071389 8.330923 11.406475 15.958945 22.628824 32.204331 47.286169
2025-08-17 5.297116 7.550887 10.754061 15.721740 23.382487 35.000220 54.442444
2025-08-24 4.694133 6.926736 10.227280 15.570304 24.211362 38.007475 62.464190
2025-08-31 4.222191 6.431124 9.817359 15.522092 25.169105 41.340123 71.633559
2025-09-07 3.916503 6.149126 9.692986 15.898131 26.858372 46.133750 84.283977
2025-09-14 3.561676 5.743655 9.315672 15.789318 27.680758 49.524898 94.997437
2025-09-21 3.216685 5.313664 8.843505 15.444181 28.011804 52.045061 104.484930
2025-09-28 2.951794 4.989392 8.512015 15.301014 28.685091 55.305811 116.153464
2025-10-05 2.803792 4.858304 8.514392 15.796506 30.712494 61.700369 136.308935
2025-10-12 2.667791 4.733864 8.514195 16.287637 32.814998 68.651941 159.508247
2025-10-19 2.510417 4.553011 8.387449 16.508856 34.388333 74.751889 182.238979
2025-10-26 2.321242 4.292422 8.078315 16.312320 35.018452 78.823636 200.855156
2025-11-02 2.144783 4.038836 7.755470 16.043646 35.443127 82.490640 219.379769
2025-11-09 1.985795 3.804366 7.446339 15.764362 35.799460 86.060514 238.632489
2025-11-16 1.852331 3.608681 7.196742 15.586034 36.372129 90.299155 261.101452
2025-11-23 1.741566 3.449241 7.006921 15.520449 37.216093 95.429184 287.888761
2025-11-30 1.676049 3.378300 6.999778 15.884742 39.225573 104.187697 329.315980
2025-12-07 1.578171 3.229100 6.804999 15.768391 39.942574 109.403248 360.291021
2025-12-14 1.471696 3.051920 6.530185 15.418857 39.968445 112.583228 385.007449